Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-01-28 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYR: 29.3%

CAR: 70.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.28

CAR: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	26	22	4	84.6%	2.43	3	-1.57
CAR	Frederik Andersen	22	22	0	100.0%	2.85	1	2.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	0.93
1	CAR	14	1	0.80
2	NYR	18	1	1.24
2	CAR	11	1	0.98
3	NYR	8	0	0.67
3	CAR	13	1	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.3 - 3.3