Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-01-28 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 59.6%
COL: 40.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.87
COL: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | NYI | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.908 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:11 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:00 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:54 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:31 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0