Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-28 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

SEA: 39.9%

ANA: 60.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.58

ANA: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	17	6	73.9%	2.46	1	-3.54
ANA	Lukas Dostal	30	26	4	86.7%	2.62	1	-1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs ANA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	SEA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	ANA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	1	0.91
1	ANA	12	0	0.89
2	SEA	17	0	0.80
2	ANA	11	0	0.46
3	SEA	19	0	0.91
3	ANA	12	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3