Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-01-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 63.9%

VAN: 36.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.29

VAN: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	19	3	86.4%	2.59	2	-0.41
VAN	Thatcher Demko	32	31	1	96.9%	3.01	3	2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs VAN: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	VAN 4 - 3 NSH	VAN	VAN
2025-11-03	NSH 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-10-23	NSH 2 - 1 VAN	NSH	NSH
2025-01-29	NSH 1 - 3 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-01-03	VAN 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	1	1.16
1	VAN	17	1	1.22
2	NSH	13	0	0.52
2	VAN	7	0	0.49
3	NSH	17	2	1.32
3	VAN	8	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7