Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

BOS: 48.9%

WPG: 51.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.07

WPG: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	28	22	6	78.6%	4.31	6	-1.69
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	26	2	92.9%	2.76	0	0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.67
1	WPG	16	1	1.42
2	BOS	16	0	0.82
2	WPG	16	2	1.14
3	BOS	17	0	1.27
3	WPG	9	3	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2