Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-01-30 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 56.8%
WPG: 43.2%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.91
WPG: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | BOS | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs WPG: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | WPG 3 - 6 BOS | BOS | WPG |
| 2025-01-30 | BOS 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | BOS |
| 2024-12-10 | WPG 8 - 1 BOS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-01-22 | BOS 4 - 1 WPG | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-12-22 | WPG 5 - 1 BOS | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:55 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 11:31 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 15:34 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 00:11 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:35 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:17 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 05:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:23 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4