Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-01-30 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 65.0%
MIN: 35.0%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.63
MIN: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | MTL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.841 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | MIN 4 - 3 MTL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-20 | MTL 4 - 3 MIN | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-01-30 | MTL 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | MTL |
| 2024-11-14 | MIN 3 - 0 MTL | MIN | MIN |
| 2023-12-21 | MIN 4 - 3 MTL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:47 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 03:41 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5