Los Angeles Kings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2025-01-30 • Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 0 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 61.8%
LAK: 38.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.44
LAK: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | TBL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.826 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TBL at home vs LAK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | LAK 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | LAK |
| 2025-12-18 | TBL 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | TBL |
| 2025-01-30 | TBL 3 - 0 LAK | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-01-04 | LAK 2 - 1 TBL | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-03-23 | LAK 4 - 3 TBL | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:45 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:39 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 0 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8