New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-01-30 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 51.9%
NYI: 48.1%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.80
NYI: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 4.4
Over 5.5: 36%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.955 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | NYI 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2026-01-26 | PHI 0 - 4 NYI | NYI | PHI |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-10-25 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-04-12 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:02 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:08 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:53 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
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