St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-01-31 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

COL: 67.1%

STL: 32.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.71

STL: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	19	19	0	100.0%	1.79	0	1.79
STL	Joel Hofer	36	31	5	86.1%	2.89	0	-2.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs STL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	29	1.73
1	STL	9	0.52
2	COL	10	0.65
2	STL	13	0.49
3	COL	8	0.50
3	STL	9	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7