New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-02-01 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 48.1%

NYR: 51.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.18

NYR: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	25	22	3	88.0%	3.18	1	0.18
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	25	19	6	76.0%	3.67	2	-2.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • BOS at home vs NYR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	BOS 3 - 0 NYR	BOS	NYR
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	19	1	1.29
1	NYR	19	1	1.46
2	BOS	19	0	1.15
2	NYR	10	0	0.40
3	BOS	10	1	1.23
3	NYR	21	0	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2