Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-02-01 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

PIT: 59.8%

NSH: 40.2%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.89

NSH: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 49%

PIT

Alex Nedeljkovic - 14-15-5 | 0.894 SV% | 3.12 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Alex Nedeljkovic	25	25	0	100.0%	2.70	1	2.70
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	33	3	91.7%	3.91	2	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	18	0	0.94
1	NSH	14	1	1.38
2	PIT	17	0	1.24
2	NSH	15	0	0.66
3	PIT	19	2	1.73
3	NSH	14	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3