Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-02-01 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 57.1%

WPG: 42.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.55

WPG: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 7.3

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 63%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	WPG 5 - 1 WSH	WPG	WSH
2025-11-26	WSH 4 - 3 WPG	WSH	WSH
2025-03-25	WPG 3 - 2 WSH	WPG	WSH
2025-02-01	WSH 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WSH
2024-03-24	WSH 3 - 0 WPG	WSH	WSH

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	09:13	WPG	Goal
1	12:41	WPG	Goal
2	01:12	WPG	Goal
2	04:03	WPG	Goal
2	04:54	WPG	Goal
3	01:10	WPG	Goal
3	07:26	WPG	Goal
3	12:21	WSH	Goal
4	01:57	WPG	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8