New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 55.0%
NJD: 45.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.95
NJD: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | BUF | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.783 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | NJD 1 - 2 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-12-21 | NJD 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-11-28 | BUF 0 - 5 NJD | NJD | BUF |
| 2025-02-02 | BUF 4 - 3 NJD | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-05 | NJD 3 - 1 BUF | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:31 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:50 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 08:11 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 17:25 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 04:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:32 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:18 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2