Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 54.3%
PHI: 45.7%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.21
PHI: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | COL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • COL at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3 - 7 PHI | PHI | COL |
| 2025-12-07 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | PHI |
| 2025-02-02 | COL 2 - 0 PHI | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-18 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-20 | PHI 4 - 7 COL | COL | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:33 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:28 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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