Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 54.9%
PHI: 45.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 4.27
PHI: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3 - 7 PHI | PHI | COL |
| 2025-12-07 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-02-02 | COL 2 - 0 PHI | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-18 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-20 | PHI 4 - 7 COL | COL | PHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 10 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 1 | PHI | 12 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | COL | 23 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 2 | PHI | 12 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 3 | COL | 10 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 3 | PHI | 10 | 0 | 0.82 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 4.3 - 3.1
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