Montreal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 42.9%
MTL: 57.1%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.90
MTL: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 53%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs MTL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | MTL 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | MTL |
| 2026-03-06 | ANA 6 - 5 MTL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-02-02 | ANA 3 - 2 MTL | ANA | MTL |
| 2024-12-09 | MTL 3 - 2 ANA | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-02-13 | MTL 5 - 0 ANA | MTL | MTL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 1 | MTL | 14 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 2 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 2 | MTL | 7 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 3 | ANA | 14 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | MTL | 14 | 0 | 0.53 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4
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