Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 55.3%
DET: 44.7%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.74
DET: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 30%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | VAN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.816 | 0.984 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | DET 5 - 1 VAN | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-08 | VAN 0 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-02 | VAN 2 - 3 DET | DET | VAN |
| 2024-12-01 | DET 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-02-15 | VAN 4 - 1 DET | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:19 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 06:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 05:54 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 10:46 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 04:18 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.7 - 2.8
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