Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-02-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 67.9%

DET: 32.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.47

DET: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

DET

Alex Lyon - 14-9-1 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	18	15	3	83.3%	1.59	1	-1.41
DET	Alex Lyon	27	25	2	92.6%	2.87	1	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs DET: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	1.07
1	DET	11	0	0.50
2	VAN	14	0	0.91
2	DET	9	1	0.63
3	VAN	9	1	0.72
3	DET	5	0	0.12
4	VAN	2	0	0.17
4	DET	3	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0