Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-02-03 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 58.0%

OTT: 42.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.21

OTT: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 41%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	39	34	5	87.2%	3.93	2	-1.07
OTT	Anton Forsberg	27	25	2	92.6%	1.96	1	-0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NSH at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	OTT 3 - 2 NSH	OTT	OTT
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.50
1	OTT	15	1	1.21
2	NSH	14	0	0.94
2	OTT	28	1	1.95
3	NSH	10	1	0.52
3	OTT	9	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8