Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-02-03 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 54.2%
OTT: 45.8%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.00
OTT: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | NSH 5 - 3 OTT | NSH | OTT |
| 2025-10-13 | OTT 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | OTT |
| 2025-02-03 | NSH 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | NSH |
| 2024-12-07 | OTT 3 - 1 NSH | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-02-27 | NSH 4 - 1 OTT | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | OTT | 15 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 2 | NSH | 14 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | OTT | 28 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 3 | NSH | 10 | 1 | 0.52 |
| 3 | OTT | 9 | 0 | 0.77 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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