Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

BOS: 60.5%

MIN: 39.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.51

MIN: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	36	36	0	100.0%	2.84	1	2.84
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	35	32	3	91.4%	3.40	1	0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	BOS
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	18	0	0.97
1	MIN	11	0	0.39
2	BOS	19	0	1.15
2	MIN	20	1	1.22
3	BOS	12	1	1.28
3	MIN	21	0	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9