Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 60.8%
CBJ: 39.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.45
CBJ: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • BUF at home vs CBJ: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CBJ 5 - 1 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-28 | BUF 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-04-10 | CBJ 3 - 2 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-04 | BUF 3 - 2 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-17 | CBJ 6 - 4 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 01:47 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:56 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 12:38 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8