Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 40.6%

CAR: 59.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.87

CAR: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 43%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	29	29	0	100.0%	2.42	1	2.42
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	30	27	3	90.0%	4.02	4	1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.02
1	CAR	16	0	0.72
2	WPG	7	0	0.44
2	CAR	20	0	1.05
3	WPG	15	4	2.56
3	CAR	12	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7