Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 47.8%
CAR: 52.2%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.94
CAR: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | WPG | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.902 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | CAR 5 - 1 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-09 | CAR 4 - 2 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3 - 0 CAR | WPG | CAR |
| 2024-03-02 | CAR 3 - 5 WPG | WPG | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 03:13 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 16:17 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.