Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

ANA: 50.2%

DAL: 49.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.98

DAL: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	27	26	1	96.3%	2.92	2	1.92
DAL	Jake Oettinger	28	26	2	92.9%	3.41	3	1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ANA at home vs DAL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	0.73
1	DAL	17	1	0.98
2	ANA	21	1	1.25
2	DAL	11	0	0.89
3	ANA	11	2	1.43
3	DAL	11	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3