Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 58.1%
DET: 41.9%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.23
DET: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | SEA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.863 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SEA at home vs DET: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | SEA |
| 2025-11-18 | DET 4 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-04 | SEA 4 - 5 DET | DET | SEA |
| 2025-01-12 | DET 6 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-19 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:36 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 09:28 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:30 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 06:29 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 12:07 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:21 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 10:10 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:04 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1