Boston Bruins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-02-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

NYR: 65.4%

BOS: 34.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.37

BOS: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	17	15	2	88.2%	1.97	1	-0.03
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	22	19	3	86.4%	2.70	2	-0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs BOS: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	NYR
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR
2025-02-01	BOS 6 - 3 NYR	BOS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	0	0.53
1	BOS	7	1	0.61
2	NYR	10	1	0.94
2	BOS	11	0	0.50
3	NYR	11	1	1.23
3	BOS	12	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9