Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-02-05 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

CHI: 34.2%

EDM: 65.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.08

EDM: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	38	34	4	89.5%	2.93	2	-1.07
EDM	Calvin Pickard	32	29	3	90.6%	3.11	1	0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CHI at home vs EDM: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	17	0	0.95
1	EDM	15	0	0.73
2	CHI	15	1	1.05
2	EDM	13	1	0.97
3	CHI	14	0	1.05
3	EDM	16	0	0.92
4	CHI	1	0	0.07
4	EDM	2	1	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3