Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-02-06 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 58.1%
VGK: 41.9%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.99
VGK: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | NJD | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | VGK 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | VGK |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2025-03-02 | VGK 2 - 0 NJD | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-06 | NJD 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2024-03-17 | VGK 3 - 1 NJD | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:09 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 11:18 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:06 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:43 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1