Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-02-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

NJD: 49.5%

VGK: 50.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.14

VGK: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	40	37	3	92.5%	4.21	4	1.21
VGK	Adin Hill	15	14	1	93.3%	1.57	0	0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs VGK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	VGK 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	VGK
2025-12-05	NJD 0 - 3 VGK	VGK	NJD
2025-03-02	VGK 2 - 0 NJD	VGK	VGK
2025-02-06	NJD 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-03-17	VGK 3 - 1 NJD	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	6	0	0.18
1	VGK	13	0	0.79
2	NJD	10	0	0.59
2	VGK	22	3	1.89
3	NJD	13	0	0.79
3	VGK	21	1	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0