Utah Hockey Club at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-02-06 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

CBJ: 42.6%

UTA: 57.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.09

UTA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	30	3	90.9%	3.60	2	0.60
UTA	Connor Ingram	22	20	2	90.9%	2.81	4	0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CBJ 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-11	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA
2025-02-06	CBJ 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	5	1	0.37
1	UTA	23	1	1.29
2	CBJ	15	1	0.95
2	UTA	17	0	0.92
3	CBJ	18	2	1.45
3	UTA	11	0	0.76
4	CBJ	1	0	0.04
4	UTA	5	1	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2