Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-02-06 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

STL: 47.2%

FLA: 52.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.03

FLA: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	34	31	3	91.2%	3.04	2	0.04
FLA	Spencer Knight	22	20	2	90.9%	1.75	0	-0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	FLA
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	FLA
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.54
1	FLA	26	1	1.63
2	STL	13	0	1.05
2	FLA	14	0	0.73
3	STL	6	0	0.16
3	FLA	15	1	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3