Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-02-06 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 46.2%
CAR: 53.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.71
CAR: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 40%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | MIN 4 - 3 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-11-06 | CAR 4 - 3 MIN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-06 | MIN 2 - 1 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-01-04 | CAR 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | CAR |
| 2024-02-27 | MIN 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 9 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 1 | CAR | 22 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | MIN | 14 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 2 | CAR | 19 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 3 | MIN | 8 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 3 | CAR | 22 | 0 | 1.42 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2
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