Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-02-06 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 35.6%

CAR: 64.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.68

CAR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 37%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	38	37	1	97.4%	3.41	1	2.41
CAR	Frederik Andersen	24	22	2	91.7%	2.36	1	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.64
1	CAR	22	0	0.79
2	MIN	14	1	1.32
2	CAR	19	1	1.20
3	MIN	8	0	0.40
3	CAR	22	0	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.0