New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-02-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

WPG: 55.0%

NYI: 45.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.00

NYI: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	WPG 5 - 4 NYI	WPG	WPG
2025-10-13	NYI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NYI
2025-03-04	NYI 3 - 2 WPG	NYI	WPG
2025-02-07	WPG 4 - 3 NYI	WPG	WPG
2024-03-23	NYI 6 - 3 WPG	NYI	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.68
1	NYI	13	0	0.90
2	WPG	13	1	1.11
2	NYI	15	0	0.61
3	WPG	10	0	0.75
3	NYI	26	1	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5