New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-02-07 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 54.9%
NYI: 45.1%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.32
NYI: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | 0.809 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | WPG 5 - 4 NYI | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-13 | NYI 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NYI |
| 2025-03-04 | NYI 3 - 2 WPG | NYI | WPG |
| 2025-02-07 | WPG 4 - 3 NYI | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-23 | NYI 6 - 3 WPG | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:05 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:27 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 12:07 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:23 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 14:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 18:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 11:07 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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