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Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-02-07 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 69.4%
COL: 30.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.50
COL: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
StatEDMCOL
Season SV%0.9060.919
Last 5 SV%0.8370.951
SV% vs Opponent0.9170.964
GAA2.732.13
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-13EDM 1 - 2 COLCOLCOL
2026-03-10COL 3 - 4 EDMEDMCOL
2025-11-08EDM 1 - 9 COLCOLCOL
2025-02-07EDM 4 - 5 COLCOLEDM
2025-01-16COL 3 - 4 EDMEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
109:48COLGoal
110:39EDMGoal
111:46COLGoal
112:22EDMGoal
118:08COLGoal
206:39COLGoal
207:48COLGoal
215:59EDMGoal
315:38COLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 69.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6