Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-02-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

LAK: 61.9%

DAL: 38.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.43

DAL: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	31	27	4	87.1%	2.97	1	-1.03
DAL	Jake Oettinger	39	33	6	84.6%	5.48	4	-0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs DAL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	1.05
1	DAL	18	0	0.91
2	LAK	17	1	1.13
2	DAL	10	0	0.59
3	LAK	18	1	0.95
3	DAL	15	1	1.00
4	LAK	5	0	0.61
4	DAL	3	0	0.33
5	LAK	2	2	1.74
5	DAL	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9