New Jersey Devils at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

MTL: 49.1%

NJD: 50.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.14

NJD: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	22	18	4	81.8%	2.40	3	-1.60
NJD	Jake Allen	34	34	0	100.0%	3.37	4	3.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MTL at home vs NJD: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	NJD
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	11	2	0.87
1	NJD	14	0	0.67
2	MTL	24	0	1.19
2	NJD	12	1	0.84
3	MTL	18	2	1.30
3	NJD	11	2	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1