Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-02-08 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 60.0%
VGK: 40.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.93
VGK: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | BOS | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.838 | 0.830 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs VGK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | BOS 4 - 3 VGK | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-16 | VGK 6 - 5 BOS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-20 | VGK 5 - 1 BOS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-08 | BOS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | BOS |
| 2024-02-29 | BOS 5 - 4 VGK | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:17 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 13:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 15:09 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:07 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:26 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1