Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

BOS: 47.5%

VGK: 52.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.03

VGK: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BOS at home vs VGK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	BOS 4 - 3 VGK	BOS	BOS
2025-10-16	VGK 6 - 5 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-03-20	VGK 5 - 1 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-02-08	BOS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-02-29	BOS 5 - 4 VGK	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	20	1	1.45
1	VGK	15	0	0.92
2	BOS	8	0	0.61
2	VGK	23	0	1.30
3	BOS	10	0	0.43
3	VGK	17	2	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2