New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.7%

NYR: 46.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.11

NYR: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	40	36	4	90.0%	2.56	0	-1.44
NYR	Jonathan Quick	25	22	3	88.0%	2.53	1	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	1	0.91
1	NYR	15	0	0.95
2	CBJ	12	0	1.01
2	NYR	19	0	0.77
3	CBJ	11	0	0.61
3	NYR	21	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4