Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

STL: 78.1%

CHI: 21.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 4.11

CHI: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 35%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	22	6	78.6%	3.41	2	-2.59
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	50	43	7	86.0%	6.06	6	-0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • STL at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	1	0.64
1	CHI	11	1	0.67
2	STL	24	2	1.86
2	CHI	4	0	0.10
3	STL	14	1	0.96
3	CHI	11	0	0.81
4	STL	5	0	0.41
4	CHI	4	0	0.29
5	STL	10	2	2.19
5	CHI	10	1	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.5