Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-02-08 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 41.9%
TOR: 58.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.83
TOR: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | VAN | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs TOR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VAN 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | VAN |
| 2026-01-10 | TOR 5 - 0 VAN | TOR | VAN |
| 2025-02-08 | VAN 2 - 1 TOR | VAN | TOR |
| 2025-01-11 | TOR 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | TOR |
| 2024-01-20 | VAN 6 - 4 TOR | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:54 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:56 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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