Buffalo Sabres at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 45.0%

BUF: 55.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.51

BUF: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 39%

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	29	25	4	86.2%	3.32	1	-0.68
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	23	17	6	73.9%	2.98	2	-3.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	BUF 3 - 2 NSH	BUF	BUF
2026-01-20	NSH 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	NSH
2025-02-08	NSH 6 - 4 BUF	NSH	BUF
2025-01-31	BUF 4 - 3 NSH	BUF	BUF
2024-03-07	NSH 4 - 2 BUF	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.75
1	BUF	18	0	1.21
2	NSH	9	1	0.78
2	BUF	15	0	0.90
3	NSH	12	1	1.45
3	BUF	17	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 3.5