Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 61.4%

SEA: 38.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.53

SEA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dustin Wolf	28	25	3	89.3%	2.94	2	-0.06
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	27	2	93.1%	1.83	0	-0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs SEA: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-04	SEA 6 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-10-01	CGY 1 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	0	0.46
1	SEA	15	1	1.14
2	CGY	18	0	0.86
2	SEA	11	0	0.48
3	CGY	9	0	0.42
3	SEA	19	1	1.27
4	CGY	1	0	0.10
4	SEA	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8