Utah Hockey Club at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-02-09 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 54.9%

UTA: 45.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.21

UTA: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • WSH at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	UTA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	UTA
2026-03-03	WSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-09	WSH 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	WSH
2024-11-18	UTA 2 - 6 WSH	WSH	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	18	2	1.68
1	UTA	14	0	0.71
2	WSH	14	0	0.79
2	UTA	18	1	1.40
3	WSH	17	1	1.00
3	UTA	12	0	0.55
4	WSH	3	1	0.40
4	UTA	2	0	0.29
5	WSH	3	0	0.24
5	UTA	2	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0