Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 43.5%

EDM: 56.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.10

EDM: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	EDM 2 - 5 PHI	PHI	EDM
2025-11-12	PHI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	PHI
2025-02-22	PHI 6 - 3 EDM	PHI	EDM
2024-10-15	EDM 4 - 3 PHI	EDM	EDM
2024-01-02	EDM 5 - 2 PHI	EDM	EDM

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:07	PHI	Goal
1	07:06	PHI	Goal
1	09:31	EDM	Goal
2	01:45	PHI	Goal
2	07:13	PHI	Goal
2	08:34	PHI	Goal
2	12:26	PHI	Goal
2	15:37	PHI	Goal
3	17:01	PHI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0