Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 62.3%
MIN: 37.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.51
MIN: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | DET | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs MIN: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | MIN 4 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-25 | MIN 2 - 3 DET | DET | MIN |
| 2025-02-22 | DET 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2023-12-27 | MIN 6 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
| 2023-11-26 | DET 4 - 1 MIN | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:54 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:05 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 00:22 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 13:07 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:29 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 03:35 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6