Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 56.8%

MIN: 43.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.43

MIN: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	39	35	4	89.7%	4.63	3	0.63
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	30	27	3	90.0%	4.34	3	1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	DET 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	DET
2026-01-22	MIN 4 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN
2025-02-25	MIN 2 - 3 DET	DET	MIN
2025-02-22	DET 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	DET
2023-12-27	MIN 6 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.67
1	MIN	16	0	0.98
2	DET	25	3	2.98
2	MIN	9	1	1.18
3	DET	5	0	0.26
3	MIN	25	1	2.05
4	DET	4	0	0.43
4	MIN	3	1	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9