New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 8 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 59.3%
NYR: 40.7%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.19
NYR: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | BUF | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • BUF at home vs NYR: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | NYR 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | NYR |
| 2025-10-09 | BUF 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | BUF |
| 2025-02-22 | BUF 8 - 2 NYR | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-11 | BUF 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | BUF |
| 2024-11-07 | NYR 1 - 6 BUF | BUF | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:32 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 18:21 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 05:29 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:25 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 03:47 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:40 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:24 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 8 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9