Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 53.0%
DAL: 47.0%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.82
DAL: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NJD | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • NJD at home vs DAL: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | NJD 0 - 3 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2025-03-04 | DAL 4 - 3 NJD | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-22 | NJD 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2024-03-14 | DAL 2 - 6 NJD | NJD | DAL |
| 2024-01-20 | NJD 2 - 6 DAL | DAL | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:58 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:35 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:40 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4