Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NJD: 49.4%

DAL: 50.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.23

DAL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs DAL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DAL 4 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL
2025-12-03	NJD 0 - 3 DAL	DAL	NJD
2025-03-04	DAL 4 - 3 NJD	DAL	DAL
2025-02-22	NJD 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-14	DAL 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	20	0	0.93
1	DAL	13	1	0.82
2	NJD	18	1	1.39
2	DAL	13	0	0.86
3	NJD	19	1	1.37
3	DAL	11	1	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2