Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 53.7%
ANA: 46.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.56
ANA: 3.43
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs ANA: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | ANA 4 - 3 BOS | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-10-23 | BOS 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-26 | ANA 6 - 2 BOS | ANA | BOS |
| 2025-02-22 | BOS 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | BOS |
| 2023-10-26 | BOS 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | BOS |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 9 | 1 | 0.83 |
| 1 | ANA | 22 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 2 | BOS | 21 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 2 | ANA | 10 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 3 | BOS | 10 | 1 | 0.88 |
| 3 | ANA | 8 | 1 | 0.60 |
| 4 | BOS | 3 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 4 | ANA | 3 | 1 | 0.47 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.6 - 3.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.