Chicago Blackhawks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.5%

CHI: 46.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.39

CHI: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	28	27	1	96.4%	2.99	3	1.99
CHI	Petr Mrazek	21	16	5	76.2%	2.16	1	-2.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.83
1	CHI	11	0	0.29
2	CBJ	10	0	0.29
2	CHI	17	1	1.60
3	CBJ	10	1	1.04
3	CHI	10	2	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1