Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.3%
WPG: 49.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.34
WPG: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | STL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.949 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | STL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | STL |
| 2026-03-15 | WPG 3 - 2 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3 - 1 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-17 | STL 1 - 0 WPG | STL | WPG |
| 2025-05-04 | WPG 4 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:58 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 15:34 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:01 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 00:16 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:10 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:32 | STL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3
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