Utah Hockey Club at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

LAK: 56.8%

UTA: 43.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.31

UTA: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	25	3	89.3%	2.68	2	-0.32
UTA	Connor Ingram	26	21	5	80.8%	3.00	2	-2.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	LAK 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	LAK
2026-03-22	UTA 4 - 3 LAK	UTA	UTA
2025-12-08	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-04-03	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-02-22	LAK 5 - 3 UTA	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	15	0	0.46
1	UTA	12	0	0.64
2	LAK	16	0	0.88
2	UTA	16	1	0.98
3	LAK	14	2	1.66
3	UTA	17	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8