Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-02-23 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 54.5%
EDM: 45.5%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.77
EDM: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | WSH | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6 - 5 WSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-19 | WSH 7 - 4 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-23 | WSH 7 - 3 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | EDM |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7 - 2 WSH | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:36 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 17:15 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 01:42 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 19:45 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 18:39 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:53 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:22 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:05 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 10:38 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 06:35 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.8 - 3.2