Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 43.4%

EDM: 56.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.75

EDM: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 8.9

Over 5.5: 87%

Over 6.5: 77%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	EDM 6 - 5 WSH	EDM	EDM
2025-11-19	WSH 7 - 4 EDM	WSH	WSH
2025-02-23	WSH 7 - 3 EDM	WSH	EDM
2025-01-21	EDM 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-13	EDM 7 - 2 WSH	EDM	EDM

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	01:42	EDM	Goal
1	17:15	WSH	Goal
1	19:36	WSH	Goal
2	08:53	WSH	Goal
2	18:39	WSH	Goal
2	19:45	WSH	Goal
3	06:35	WSH	Goal
3	10:38	WSH	Goal
3	15:05	WSH	Goal
3	17:22	WSH	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.7 - 3.3