Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 48.5%

EDM: 51.5%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.19

EDM: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	EDM 6 - 5 WSH	EDM	EDM
2025-11-19	WSH 7 - 4 EDM	WSH	WSH
2025-02-23	WSH 7 - 3 EDM	WSH	EDM
2025-01-21	EDM 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	EDM
2024-03-13	EDM 7 - 2 WSH	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	21	1	1.52
1	EDM	9	0	0.80
2	WSH	13	0	1.01
2	EDM	14	0	0.84
3	WSH	15	3	1.92
3	EDM	15	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4