New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 58.7%

NYR: 41.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.12

NYR: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.3

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 36%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PIT at home vs NYR: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	NYR 3 - 2 PIT	NYR	PIT
2026-01-31	PIT 6 - 5 NYR	PIT	PIT
2025-10-11	PIT 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	PIT
2025-10-07	NYR 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-02-23	PIT 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	12:53	PIT	Goal
1	19:12	PIT	Goal
2	17:00	NYR	Goal
3	00:57	PIT	Goal
3	03:31	PIT	Goal
3	04:21	PIT	Goal
3	11:26	NYR	Goal
3	19:53	NYR	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9