Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

DET: 58.1%

ANA: 41.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.25

ANA: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	DET
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	1.09
1	ANA	18	1	1.26
2	DET	23	1	1.51
2	ANA	12	0	0.89
3	DET	15	3	1.49
3	ANA	10	0	0.47
4	DET	6	0	0.70
4	ANA	2	1	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.6